Your chance of Starlink or Amazon Leo
This fleet probability applies before the airline assigns an aircraft. It does not promise a specific seat, route, or departure.
Next-GenHow the numbers work
See the sources and method behind each number.
WiFi Odds distinguishes aircraft in service, announced rollouts, and unpublished fleet counts. Use Next-Gen to estimate your chance of Starlink or Amazon Leo. Use Streaming score to compare WiFi across an airline’s full fleet.
Method effective 28 Jul 202601 / Two questions
Next-Gen and Streaming answer different questions.
Next-Gen estimates your chance of boarding an aircraft with Starlink or Amazon Leo. Streaming score compares WiFi across the full published fleet.
WiFi quality across the fleet
Streaming score is a 0–100 rating across the whole published fleet. It weights each fitted system by fleet share, observed quality, and whether passengers can use it free.
Streaming02 / Unpublished aircraft counts
Keep unpublished counts unknown. Do not record them as 0%.
We publish 0% only when an airline reports its fleet size and confirms that no next-gen aircraft are flying.
Unpublished counts and confirmed 0% are different.
Next-gen odds · airline level
Air France
AF
UnpublishedStarlink is flying, but Air France has not published a current equipped-aircraft count.
Reported · Air France public announcements · Jul 2026
SAS
SK
UnpublishedStarlink is flying, but SAS has not published a confirmed current count.
Reported · SAS public announcements · Jul 2026
American
AA
0%American has a published current fleet and no next-gen aircraft flying today. Its signed Starlink rollout begins later.
Reported · American and Runway Girl Network · 26 May 2026
≠
Unpublished rows stay neutral and unranked.
We exclude them from the next-gen denominator and do not rank them as zeros. A row becomes numeric after the airline publishes the missing count.
≥
03 / Confirmed coverage
We publish confirmed coverage for incomplete fleet data.
Some fleets have a confirmed share with streaming-capable WiFi and no published system for the remaining aircraft. We label that evidence Confirmed streaming coverage and keep it separate from Streaming score.
The greater-than-or-equal sign means the share may rise when the airline publishes more fleet detail. The confirmed share cannot fall below the sourced minimum.
Read “≥” as: at least this much is confirmed. The rest is unreported, not absent.
04 / Source labels
Each figure carries a source label.
We label each figure by source type: measured performance, a public fleet statement, or a vendor specification.
A passenger or tracker recorded it.
A speed test, latency trace, flight record, or other result came from service during a flight. We include the sample and date because one session cannot represent a fleet.
Performance evidence · source and observation date requiredA named source published it.
Airlines, trackers, filings, or dated reporting provide aircraft counts, rollout dates, service terms, and per-tail records. These sources support most fleet odds.
Fleet evidence · publisher and effective date requiredThe supplier published the specification.
The company selling the system published a capability or specification. We label this product context and keep it separate from passenger-measured performance.
Product claim · vendor and announcement date required05 / Formulas
How we calculate each score.
Each formula uses published inputs. We leave a result unknown when a required input is missing.
Next-Gen
confirmed next-gen aircraft
÷ aircraft with a published system
÷ aircraft with a published system
Only Starlink and Amazon Leo enter the numerator. Airlines with an unpublished equipped count remain non-numeric.
Streaming score
fleet share × system quality
× free-for-you factor
× free-for-you factor
Each published fleet segment contributes its weighted points. The rows sum to a 0–100 whole-fleet rating. It answers quality today, not the chance of next-gen.
06 / Provenance
Aircraft-level data sources
We name the source and date for each fleet figure.
United and Alaska aircraft records come from trackers built by @martinamps.
United tail records come from unitedstarlinktracker.com. Alaska tail and fleet records come from alaskastarlinktracker.com. Those independent trackers verify the installations behind the aircraft-level evidence.
Visit unitedstarlinktracker.com →Fleet states come from the carrier’s own dated public announcements, with the publisher and date attached. The site marks a count as unpublished when the carrier does not provide one.